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ST

SOLAREDGE TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (SEDG)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered the third straight quarter of sequential revenue growth to $340.21M (+18% q/q) with substantial margin expansion (Non-GAAP GM 18.8% vs 13.1% in Q2), positive free cash flow ($22.8M), and a sharply narrower Non-GAAP operating loss ($23.8M vs $48.3M in Q2) .
  • Results modestly beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $340.2M vs $336.7M estimate and Non-GAAP EPS -$0.31 vs -$0.42 estimate; EBITDA was still negative but improved sequentially; management guided Q4 revenue to $310–$340M and raised Non-GAAP GM range to 19–23% (incl. ~2% tariff headwind) .
  • Management emphasized turnaround execution (single SKU platform, U.S. manufacturing ramp, Nexus next-gen platform), regional recovery (EU revenue ~€100M; +45% q/q), and safe-harbor structures with TPOs/C&I that enhance visibility without pulling revenue forward .
  • New Infineon collaboration to develop solid-state transformer solutions for future DC-architecture data centers adds an AI/data center optionality angle; commercialization visibility is medium term (2027–2028) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sequential growth and operating leverage: Non-GAAP GM rose to 18.8% (high end of Q3 guide) and Non-GAAP opex held to $87.7M; free cash flow turned positive ($22.8M) .
    • U.S. manufacturing benefits and product mix support margins; management sees continued ~2% tariff headwind but offset by U.S.-made products and Nexus introduction .
    • Strategic progress: single-SKU platform to simplify forecasting/logistics/service; regained #1 U.S. resi inverter share in Q2 per WoodMac; safe-harbor structures with TPOs/C&I customers without revenue pull-forward .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Profitability remains negative: GAAP net loss ($50.1M) and Non-GAAP net loss ($18.3M); EBITDA still negative despite improvement .
    • Tariffs remain a consistent ~2% gross margin headwind in Q3 and Q4 outlook; mix/geography still a swing factor .
    • Europe remains challenging despite inventory normalization; recovery is underway but dependent on storage attach, Nexus ramp and U.S. export competitiveness .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($M)$219.48 $289.43 $340.18
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)-$1.14 -$0.81 -$0.31
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)-$1.70 -$2.13 -$0.84
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %7.8% 13.1% 18.8%
GAAP Gross Margin %8.0% 11.1% 21.2%
Non-GAAP Operating Loss ($M)-$72.45 -$48.33 -$23.76
Free Cash Flow ($M)$19.85 -$9.06 $22.80
  • Mix and cadence context: tariffs impacted GM by ~2% in Q3; Q4 guide assumes ~2% tariff impact as well .

Actual vs S&P Global consensus (latest three quarters)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue – Actual ($M)$219.48 $289.43 $340.18
Revenue – Consensus ($M)204.23*274.49*336.70*
Revenue – Surprise ($M)+15.25+14.94+3.48
Non-GAAP EPS – Actual ($)-1.14 -0.81 -0.31
Non-GAAP EPS – Consensus ($)-1.16*-0.84*-0.42*
EPS – Surprise ($)+0.02+0.03+0.11

Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global (consensus and derived surprises).

Q3 2025 segment/regional mix

RegionRevenue ($M)Mix
U.S.$20360%
Europe$10130%
International (ex-U.S./EU)$3610%
Total$340100%

Operating liquidity and balance sheet highlights

  • Operating cash flow $25.6M and FCF $22.8M in Q3; net cash/investments (net of debt) rose by $77M to $208.8M q/q .
  • Total cash and investments portfolio was ~ $547M at 9/30/25 (post $342M note repayment) .

KPIs and shipments

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Inverter MW (AC) shipped1,208 MW 1,194 MW 1,471 MW
Batteries shipped (MWh)180 247 269
Inverters recognized as revenue (units)n/an/a~92.7k
Optimizers recognized as revenue (units)n/an/a~2.95M
Batteries recognized as revenue (MWh)n/an/a230

Note: Beginning Q4 2025, management will discontinue “MW shipped” metrics in favor of “recognized as revenue” counts, aligned to the single-SKU/software-defined platform .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q3 2025$315–$355
Non-GAAP GM %Q3 202515–19% (incl. ~2% tariff)
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)Q3 202585–90
Revenue ($M)Q4 2025$310–$340 New; midpoint $325M, seasonally lower vs Q3 midpoint $335M
Non-GAAP GM %Q4 202519–23% (incl. ~2% tariff) Raised sequential range vs Q3 guide (+4 pp to the range top)
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)Q4 202585–90 Maintained sequentially

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Turnaround, margin rebuildPositive FCF; GM turning positive; focus on execution Second straight q/q and y/y revenue growth; GM expansion; opex discipline Third straight q/q growth; Non-GAAP GM 18.8%; positive FCF; opex at midpoint Improving
Tariffs & supply chainGuide included ~2 pp tariff impact Guide included ~2% tariff impact ~2% GM impact in Q3 and Q4 guide; supply diversification ongoing Persistent headwind, managed
Product platform (Nexus, single SKU)Described platform evolution and disclosures shift Single-SKU software-defined inverters; Nexus shipments started; new EMS for C&I Accelerating rollout
U.S. manufacturing, IRA 45XU.S. manufacturing emphasized U.S. production supports global exports; 45X applies to exports too Expanding leverage
Regional trends (EU normalization)EU revenue ~€100M; +45% q/q; inventory normalized; Europe still challenging Stabilizing/recovering
AI/data centers (SST)Infineon collaboration; 2027–28 commercialization window New optionality
VPP/grid services500+ MWh in VPPs across 16 U.S. states, PR; rising attach rates Building capacity

Management Commentary

  • “We’re making steady progress in our turnaround, with three consecutive quarters of revenue growth and improving margins... positioned for continued growth, sustained profitability, and leadership in smart energy solutions.” – CEO Shuki Nir .
  • “Single SKU” software-defined inverter platform will reduce complexity and improve margins; over-the-air rating upgrades possible .
  • Europe: “EU revenues reaching EUR 100 million... up 45% q/q and up 21% y/y... position in Europe will continue to improve as we ramp sales of commercial storage, deliver U.S.-made products, and roll out the next generation Nexus platform” .
  • Cash/FCF: “positive free cash flow... ~ $547 million cash and investments (post repayment)... inventory DIO improved; CCC down to 168 days” – CFO Asaf Alperovitz .
  • Data center opportunity: “collaboration with Infineon to advance our solid-state transformer platform... expected 800V DC architecture starting 2027; 99% efficiency target” – CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • 2026 cadence: Management won’t guide FY26; typical Q1 seasonality ~10% down vs Q4; expects positive FCF in Q4 and FY25 .
  • Gross margin drivers: fixed-cost absorption, U.S.-made mix (45X), Nexus higher-margin products, and single-SKU efficiencies; tariffs ~2% headwind persists .
  • Safe-harbor: Emphasizing physical-work test structures with TPOs/C&I that improve visibility without revenue pull-forward .
  • U.S. manufacturing for export: 45X credits apply; scalable with Jabil/Flex; targeting “most” manufacturing in the U.S. over time .
  • C&I positioning: claims to be the only scaled player with non-FIAC and domestic content–compliant C&I solution; see share gains ahead .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 beat S&P Global consensus on revenue ($340.2M vs $336.7M) and Non-GAAP EPS (-$0.31 vs -$0.42); EBITDA remained negative but improved sequentially (see table above). Q1 and Q2 also modestly beat on revenue and EPS versus consensus. Values marked with asterisks are from S&P Global.
  • Implications: Street models likely raise gross margin trajectory assumptions (mix/45X/Nexus) while moderating Q4 revenues for seasonality; tariff headwinds (~2%) remain in estimates .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The turnaround is tracking: three quarters of sequential revenue growth, accelerating margin expansion, and renewed FCF generation are evident and supported by U.S.-manufactured mix and single-SKU efficiencies .
  • Q4 guide implies seasonal revenue softness but a raised margin profile (19–23% Non-GAAP GM), a constructive setup for 2026 mix-driven margin improvement even if top-line is choppy .
  • Europe is stabilizing with normalized channel inventory; new Nexus products and U.S.-made exports can improve competitiveness without sacrificing margins .
  • Tariffs (~2%) are a recurring headwind but appear manageable via sourcing, pricing, and manufacturing footprint; monitor policy risk .
  • Structural TPO/C&I positioning plus safe-harbor structures enhance forward visibility without revenue pull-forward risk—important for quality of earnings in the next 12 months .
  • Optionality: Infineon collaboration on data center DC architecture offers medium-term upside (2027–28), introducing an AI-adjacent narrative that could influence multiple expansion as milestones emerge .
  • Near-term trading lens: focus on Nexus ramp/margin mix, Q4 GM delivery vs guide, and incremental disclosures (revenue by inverters/optimizers/batteries starting Q4 10-Q) that may catalyze sentiment if quality of revenues continues to improve .

Additional Reference Items

  • Non-GAAP items: Q3 GAAP COGS benefited from ~ $15M one-time gain tied to discontinued storage claims; Seller 2 facility sale generated ~$26.1M proceeds with a small capital gain .
  • VPP milestone: >500 MWh storage enrolled across 16 U.S. states, PR; rising attach rates and incentive participation support DER-driven recurring revenue opportunities .